{"id":8106,"date":"2026-06-30T17:58:56","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T22:58:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/observatorioarmenia.org\/site\/?p=8106"},"modified":"2026-07-01T14:11:28","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T19:11:28","slug":"observatorio-economico-td-marzo-a-mayo-de-2026-de-armenia-9-9-ibague-11-5-pereira-7-8-manizales-8-2-y-nacional-8-0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/observatorioarmenia.org\/site\/observatorio-economico-td-marzo-a-mayo-de-2026-de-armenia-9-9-ibague-11-5-pereira-7-8-manizales-8-2-y-nacional-8-0\/","title":{"rendered":"Observatorio Econ\u00f3mico: TD marzo a mayo de 2026 de Armenia 9.9%, Ibagu\u00e9 11.5%, Pereira 7.8%, Manizales 8.2% y nacional 8.0%"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">I. Contexto<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La tasa de desempleo del trimestre m\u00f3vil marzo a mayo de 2026 fue para Armenia 9.9%, ocupando la posici\u00f3n d\u00e9cima entre 23 ciudades y aumentando 0.1% respecto al mismo trimestre del a\u00f1o anterior (10\/23, +01), Ibagu\u00e9 11.5% (6\/23, -1.8%), Pereira 7.8% (22\/23, -2.1%), Manizales 8.2% (20\/23, -1.5%)  y nacional 8.0% (-0.6%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El desempleo juvenil fue para Armenia 18.8% (+2.0%), Ibagu\u00e9 20.2% (-5.4%), Pereira 11.9% (-3.1%), Manizales 15.0% (-1.8%) y nacional 15.3% (-0.5%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La informalidad laboral fue para Armenia  41.0% (-3.5%), Ibagu\u00e9 44.7% (-4.2%), Pereira 40.1% (-0.8%), Manizales 35.0% (-1.9%) y nacional 54.7% (-1.2%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El eje cafetero y Tolima muestran trayectorias divergentes en el \u00faltimo a\u00f1o. Manizales y Armenia mejoran de forma consistente en ocupaci\u00f3n y participaci\u00f3n laboral, mientras Ibagu\u00e9 y Pereira pierden ocupados. En estas \u00faltimas la ca\u00edda de la TD se explica m\u00e1s por salida de poblaci\u00f3n de la fuerza de trabajo que por creaci\u00f3n neta de empleo, lo que matiza la lectura positiva del indicador. La dependencia del comercio y la p\u00e9rdida de peso de la manufactura son un patr\u00f3n com\u00fan a las cuatro ciudades, mientras el crecimiento generalizado del empleo p\u00fablico merece seguimiento, dado que no refleja necesariamente dinamismo del sector privado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">II. Indicadores y an\u00e1lisis del mercado laboral por ciudades<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html lang=\"es\">\n<head>\n<meta charset=\"UTF-8\">\n<title>An\u00e1lisis del Mercado Laboral \u2014 Armenia, Ibagu\u00e9, Pereira y Manizales<\/title>\n<style>\n  :root {\n    --blue: #1d4ed8; --blue-light:#eff6ff; --green:#15803d; --red:#b91c1c;\n    --gray-900:#111827; --gray-600:#4b5563; --gray-200:#e5e7eb; --gray-50:#f9fafb;\n  }\n  * { box-sizing: border-box; }\n  body {\n    font-family: -apple-system, \"Segoe UI\", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;\n    color: var(--gray-900); margin:0; background:#fff; line-height:1.5;\n  }\n  .wrap { max-width: 920px; margin: 0 auto; padding: 32px 24px 60px; }\n  header.report-header {\n    border-bottom: 3px solid var(--blue); padding-bottom: 14px; margin-bottom: 20px;\n  }\n  header.report-header h1 { font-size: 25px; margin: 0 0 6px; color: var(--blue); }\n  header.report-header p { margin: 0; color: var(--gray-600); font-size: 14px; }\n  h2 { font-size: 18px; color: var(--blue); border-bottom: 1px solid var(--gray-200); padding-bottom: 5px; margin: 26px 0 10px; }\n  h3 { font-size: 15px; margin: 18px 0 6px; }\n  h4 { font-size: 14px; margin: 0 0 6px; color: var(--blue); }\n  p { font-size: 14.5px; color: #1f2937; margin: 8px 0; }\n  table { border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%; font-size: 13px; margin: 10px 0; }\n  th, td { border: 1px solid var(--gray-200); padding: 6px 8px; text-align: center; }\n  th { background: var(--blue-light); font-weight: 600; font-size: 12.5px; }\n  td.lbl { text-align: left; font-weight: 500; background: var(--gray-50); min-width: 200px; }\n  td.delta { font-size: 11.5px; color: var(--gray-600); }\n  td.delta.pos { color: var(--green); }\n  td.delta.neg { color: var(--red); }\n  .chart-box { margin: 10px 0; border: 1px solid var(--gray-200); border-radius: 8px; padding: 8px 10px; background:#fff; }\n  .note { font-size: 12px; color:#6b7280; margin: 4px 0 0; }\n  .sector-grid { display: grid; grid-template-columns: repeat(2, 1fr); gap: 12px; margin: 10px 0; }\n  .sector-card { border: 1px solid var(--gray-200); border-radius: 8px; padding: 10px 14px; background: var(--gray-50); }\n  .sector-card ul { margin: 0; padding-left: 18px; font-size: 13px; }\n  .sector-card li { margin-bottom: 3px; }\n  .callout { background: var(--blue-light); border-left: 4px solid var(--blue); padding: 12px 16px; border-radius: 4px; margin: 14px 0; }\n  .two-col { display: grid; grid-template-columns: 1fr 1fr; gap: 14px; margin: 8px 0; }\n  .col-box { border: 1px solid var(--gray-200); border-radius: 8px; padding: 10px 14px; }\n  .col-box.gain { border-left: 4px solid var(--green); }\n  .col-box.loss { border-left: 4px solid var(--red); }\n  .col-box h4 { color: var(--gray-900); }\n  .col-box ul { margin: 0; padding-left: 18px; font-size: 13.5px; }\n  footer { margin-top: 30px; padding-top: 10px; border-top: 1px solid var(--gray-200); font-size: 11.5px; color: #9ca3af; }\n  @media (max-width: 700px) { .sector-grid, .two-col { grid-template-columns: 1fr; } }\n<\/style>\n<\/head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrap\">\n\n<header class=\"report-header\">\n  <h1>An\u00e1lisis del Mercado Laboral \u2014 Eje Cafetero y Tolima<\/h1>\n  <p>Armenia \u00b7 Ibagu\u00e9 \u00b7 Pereira \u00b7 Manizales \u2014 Comparativo interanual 2025 vs. 2026 (datos GEIH, mayo) \u00b7 Cifras de poblaci\u00f3n en miles de personas<\/p>\n<\/header>\n\n<div class=\"callout\">\n  <p style=\"margin:0;\">\n  En el \u00faltimo a\u00f1o, <b>Manizales<\/b> y Armenia ampliaron su poblaci\u00f3n ocupada, mientras\n  <b>Pereira<\/b> la redujo en 6.6 mil personas. La tasa de desocupaci\u00f3n baj\u00f3\n  en las cuatro ciudades salvo Armenia (pr\u00e1cticamente estable); <b>Ibagu\u00e9<\/b> sigue siendo la de mayor\n  desempleo (11.5%) y <b>Pereira<\/b> la de menor (7.8%). El comercio\n  sigue siendo el mayor empleador en las cuatro ciudades, pero pierde puestos en tres de ellas, mientras la\n  administraci\u00f3n p\u00fablica crece de forma generalizada.\n  <\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<h2>1. Tasas del mercado laboral<\/h2>\n<table>\n  <tr><th rowspan=\"2\">Indicador<\/th><th colspan='2'>Armenia<\/th><th colspan='2'>Ibagu\u00e9<\/th><th colspan='2'>Pereira<\/th><th colspan='2'>Manizales<\/th><\/tr>\n  <tr><th>2026<\/th><th>Var. pp<\/th><th>2026<\/th><th>Var. pp<\/th><th>2026<\/th><th>Var. pp<\/th><th>2026<\/th><th>Var. pp<\/th><\/tr>\n  <tr><td class='lbl'>Tasa Global de Participaci\u00f3n<\/td><td>60.6%<\/td><td class='delta pos'>+1.1 pp<\/td><td>58.2%<\/td><td class='delta neg'>-2.1 pp<\/td><td>58.9%<\/td><td class='delta neg'>-3.5 pp<\/td><td>61.0%<\/td><td class='delta pos'>+0.4 pp<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td class='lbl'>Tasa de Ocupaci\u00f3n<\/td><td>54.6%<\/td><td class='delta pos'>+1.0 pp<\/td><td>51.5%<\/td><td class='delta neg'>-0.7 pp<\/td><td>54.3%<\/td><td class='delta neg'>-1.9 pp<\/td><td>56.0%<\/td><td class='delta pos'>+1.3 pp<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td class='lbl'>Tasa de Desocupaci\u00f3n<\/td><td>9.9%<\/td><td class='delta neg'>+0.1 pp<\/td><td>11.5%<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-1.8 pp<\/td><td>7.8%<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-2.1 pp<\/td><td>8.2%<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-1.5 pp<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td class='lbl'>Tasa de Subocupaci\u00f3n<\/td><td>5.6%<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-0.1 pp<\/td><td>4.0%<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-2.6 pp<\/td><td>4.5%<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-0.2 pp<\/td><td>3.9%<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-0.2 pp<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p class=\"note\">Var. pp = variaci\u00f3n en puntos porcentuales 2025\u21922026. Verde = mejora (TGP\/TO suben, TD\/TS bajan); rojo = deterioro.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"chart-box\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 640 240\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" style=\"width:100%;height:auto;font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,Arial,sans-serif;\">\n      <text x=\"46\" y=\"20\" font-size=\"13\" font-weight=\"600\" fill=\"#1d4ed8\">Tasa de Ocupaci\u00f3n (TO), %<\/text>\n      \n      <rect x=\"444\" y=\"6\" width=\"10\" height=\"10\" fill=\"#93c5fd\"\/>\n      <text x=\"458\" y=\"15\" font-size=\"11\" fill=\"#374151\">2025<\/text>\n      <rect x=\"534\" y=\"6\" width=\"10\" height=\"10\" fill=\"#1d4ed8\"\/>\n      <text x=\"548\" y=\"15\" font-size=\"11\" fill=\"#374151\">2026<\/text>\n    \n      <line x1=\"46\" y1=\"202.0\" x2=\"624\" y2=\"202.0\" stroke=\"#e5e7eb\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/><text x=\"38\" y=\"206.0\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" fill=\"#9ca3af\">0<\/text><line x1=\"46\" y1=\"159.0\" x2=\"624\" y2=\"159.0\" stroke=\"#e5e7eb\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/><text x=\"38\" y=\"163.0\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" fill=\"#9ca3af\">17<\/text><line x1=\"46\" y1=\"116.0\" x2=\"624\" y2=\"116.0\" stroke=\"#e5e7eb\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/><text x=\"38\" y=\"120.0\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" fill=\"#9ca3af\">34<\/text><line x1=\"46\" y1=\"73.0\" x2=\"624\" y2=\"73.0\" stroke=\"#e5e7eb\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/><text x=\"38\" y=\"77.0\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" fill=\"#9ca3af\">51<\/text><line x1=\"46\" y1=\"30.0\" x2=\"624\" y2=\"30.0\" stroke=\"#e5e7eb\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/><text x=\"38\" y=\"34.0\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" fill=\"#9ca3af\">67<\/text>\n      <rect x=\"69.1\" y=\"65.3\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"136.7\" fill=\"#93c5fd\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"91.5\" y=\"60.3\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">53.6<\/text><rect x=\"122.6\" y=\"62.7\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"139.3\" fill=\"#1d4ed8\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"145.0\" y=\"57.7\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">54.6<\/text><text x=\"118.2\" y=\"226.0\" font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#111827\">Armenia<\/text><rect x=\"213.6\" y=\"68.9\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"133.1\" fill=\"#93c5fd\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"236.0\" y=\"63.9\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">52.2<\/text><rect x=\"267.1\" y=\"70.7\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"131.3\" fill=\"#1d4ed8\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"289.5\" y=\"65.7\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">51.5<\/text><text x=\"262.8\" y=\"226.0\" font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#111827\">Ibagu\u00e9<\/text><rect x=\"358.1\" y=\"58.7\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"143.3\" fill=\"#93c5fd\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"380.5\" y=\"53.7\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">56.2<\/text><rect x=\"411.6\" y=\"63.5\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"138.5\" fill=\"#1d4ed8\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"434.0\" y=\"58.5\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">54.3<\/text><text x=\"407.2\" y=\"226.0\" font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#111827\">Pereira<\/text><rect x=\"502.6\" y=\"62.5\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"139.5\" fill=\"#93c5fd\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"525.0\" y=\"57.5\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">54.7<\/text><rect x=\"556.1\" y=\"59.2\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"142.8\" fill=\"#1d4ed8\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"578.5\" y=\"54.2\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">56.0<\/text><text x=\"551.8\" y=\"226.0\" font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#111827\">Manizales<\/text>\n    <\/svg><\/div>\n<div class=\"chart-box\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 640 240\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" style=\"width:100%;height:auto;font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,Arial,sans-serif;\">\n      <text x=\"46\" y=\"20\" font-size=\"13\" font-weight=\"600\" fill=\"#1d4ed8\">Tasa de Desocupaci\u00f3n (TD), %<\/text>\n      \n      <rect x=\"444\" y=\"6\" width=\"10\" height=\"10\" fill=\"#fca5a5\"\/>\n      <text x=\"458\" y=\"15\" font-size=\"11\" fill=\"#374151\">2025<\/text>\n      <rect x=\"534\" y=\"6\" width=\"10\" height=\"10\" fill=\"#b91c1c\"\/>\n      <text x=\"548\" y=\"15\" font-size=\"11\" fill=\"#374151\">2026<\/text>\n    \n      <line x1=\"46\" y1=\"202.0\" x2=\"624\" y2=\"202.0\" stroke=\"#e5e7eb\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/><text x=\"38\" y=\"206.0\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" fill=\"#9ca3af\">0<\/text><line x1=\"46\" y1=\"159.0\" x2=\"624\" y2=\"159.0\" stroke=\"#e5e7eb\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/><text x=\"38\" y=\"163.0\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" fill=\"#9ca3af\">4<\/text><line x1=\"46\" y1=\"116.0\" x2=\"624\" y2=\"116.0\" stroke=\"#e5e7eb\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/><text x=\"38\" y=\"120.0\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" fill=\"#9ca3af\">8<\/text><line x1=\"46\" y1=\"73.0\" x2=\"624\" y2=\"73.0\" stroke=\"#e5e7eb\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/><text x=\"38\" y=\"77.0\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" fill=\"#9ca3af\">12<\/text><line x1=\"46\" y1=\"30.0\" x2=\"624\" y2=\"30.0\" stroke=\"#e5e7eb\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/><text x=\"38\" y=\"34.0\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" fill=\"#9ca3af\">16<\/text>\n      <rect x=\"69.1\" y=\"97.2\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"104.8\" fill=\"#fca5a5\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"91.5\" y=\"92.2\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">9.8<\/text><rect x=\"122.6\" y=\"96.1\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"105.9\" fill=\"#b91c1c\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"145.0\" y=\"91.1\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">9.9<\/text><text x=\"118.2\" y=\"226.0\" font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#111827\">Armenia<\/text><rect x=\"213.6\" y=\"58.7\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"143.3\" fill=\"#fca5a5\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"236.0\" y=\"53.7\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">13.4<\/text><rect x=\"267.1\" y=\"79.0\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"123.0\" fill=\"#b91c1c\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"289.5\" y=\"74.0\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">11.5<\/text><text x=\"262.8\" y=\"226.0\" font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#111827\">Ibagu\u00e9<\/text><rect x=\"358.1\" y=\"96.1\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"105.9\" fill=\"#fca5a5\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"380.5\" y=\"91.1\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">9.9<\/text><rect x=\"411.6\" y=\"118.6\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"83.4\" fill=\"#b91c1c\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"434.0\" y=\"113.6\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">7.8<\/text><text x=\"407.2\" y=\"226.0\" font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#111827\">Pereira<\/text><rect x=\"502.6\" y=\"98.2\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"103.8\" fill=\"#fca5a5\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"525.0\" y=\"93.2\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">9.7<\/text><rect x=\"556.1\" y=\"114.3\" width=\"44.8\" height=\"87.7\" fill=\"#b91c1c\" rx=\"2\"\/><text x=\"578.5\" y=\"109.3\" font-size=\"11\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#374151\">8.2<\/text><text x=\"551.8\" y=\"226.0\" font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#111827\">Manizales<\/text>\n    <\/svg><\/div>\n\n<h2>2. Poblaci\u00f3n ocupada, desocupada y subocupada<\/h2>\n<table>\n  <tr><th rowspan=\"2\">Indicador<\/th><th colspan='2'>Armenia<\/th><th colspan='2'>Ibagu\u00e9<\/th><th colspan='2'>Pereira<\/th><th colspan='2'>Manizales<\/th><\/tr>\n  <tr><th>2026<\/th><th>Var. abs (var %)<\/th><th>2026<\/th><th>Var. abs (var %)<\/th><th>2026<\/th><th>Var. abs (var %)<\/th><th>2026<\/th><th>Var. abs (var %)<\/th><\/tr>\n  <tr><td class='lbl'>Poblaci\u00f3n ocupada (miles)<\/td><td>145.2<\/td><td class='delta pos'>+4.3 (+3.0%)<\/td><td>218.5<\/td><td class='delta neg'>-1.5 (-0.7%)<\/td><td>307.6<\/td><td class='delta neg'>-6.6 (-2.1%)<\/td><td>242.0<\/td><td class='delta pos'>+8.8 (+3.8%)<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td class='lbl'>Poblaci\u00f3n desocupada (miles)<\/td><td>16.0<\/td><td class='delta neg'>+0.7 (+4.5%)<\/td><td>28.5<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-5.4 (-16.0%)<\/td><td>26.0<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-8.7 (-25.0%)<\/td><td>21.7<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-3.4 (-13.5%)<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td class='lbl'>Poblaci\u00f3n subocupada (miles)<\/td><td>9.0<\/td><td class='delta neg'>+0.2 (+2.2%)<\/td><td>9.9<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-6.8 (-40.9%)<\/td><td>15.2<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-1.3 (-8.0%)<\/td><td>10.2<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-0.4 (-4.1%)<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/table>\n\n<h3>Lectura por ciudad<\/h3>\n<p><b>Armenia<\/b>: la ocupaci\u00f3n crece (+4.3 mil personas) y la TO sube 1.0 pp, pero la desocupaci\u00f3n se mantiene pr\u00e1cticamente igual porque tambi\u00e9n crece la fuerza de trabajo; la subocupaci\u00f3n apenas cede.<\/p>\n<p><b>Ibagu\u00e9<\/b>: pierde poblaci\u00f3n ocupada (-1.5 mil) pero la TD baja 1.8 pp porque la fuerza de trabajo se contrae m\u00e1s r\u00e1pido (efecto des\u00e1nimo: la poblaci\u00f3n fuera de la fuerza de trabajo sube en 10.1 mil). Es la ciudad con la TD m\u00e1s alta del grupo.<\/p>\n<p><b>Pereira<\/b>: registra la mayor ca\u00edda en ocupados (-6.6 mil) y en TGP (-3.5 pp), pero logra la mejor TD del grupo (7.8%) y la mayor mejora en desocupaci\u00f3n, en parte porque mucha gente sale de la fuerza de trabajo (+22.3 mil).<\/p>\n<p><b>Manizales<\/b>: es la ciudad con mejor desempe\u00f1o conjunto: sube TO (+1.3 pp), sube TGP, baja TD (1.5 pp) y gana 8.8 mil ocupados, el mayor incremento del grupo.<\/p>\n\n<h2>3. Calidad del empleo: posici\u00f3n ocupacional<\/h2>\n<div class=\"chart-box\"><svg viewBox=\"0 0 640 300\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" style=\"width:100%;height:auto;font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,Arial,sans-serif;\">\n      <text x=\"46\" y=\"20\" font-size=\"13\" font-weight=\"600\" fill=\"#1d4ed8\">Distribuci\u00f3n de ocupados por posici\u00f3n ocupacional \u2014 2026 (%)<\/text>\n      <line x1=\"46\" y1=\"220.0\" x2=\"624\" y2=\"220.0\" stroke=\"#e5e7eb\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/><text x=\"38\" y=\"224.0\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" fill=\"#9ca3af\">0<\/text><line x1=\"46\" y1=\"176.5\" x2=\"624\" y2=\"176.5\" stroke=\"#e5e7eb\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/><text x=\"38\" y=\"180.5\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" fill=\"#9ca3af\">25<\/text><line x1=\"46\" y1=\"133.0\" x2=\"624\" y2=\"133.0\" stroke=\"#e5e7eb\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/><text x=\"38\" y=\"137.0\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" fill=\"#9ca3af\">50<\/text><line x1=\"46\" y1=\"89.5\" x2=\"624\" y2=\"89.5\" stroke=\"#e5e7eb\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/><text x=\"38\" y=\"93.5\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" fill=\"#9ca3af\">75<\/text><line x1=\"46\" y1=\"46.0\" x2=\"624\" y2=\"46.0\" stroke=\"#e5e7eb\" stroke-width=\"1\"\/><text x=\"38\" y=\"50.0\" font-size=\"10\" text-anchor=\"end\" fill=\"#9ca3af\">100<\/text>\n      <rect x=\"82.1\" y=\"133.7\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"86.3\" fill=\"#2563eb\"\/><text x=\"118.2\" y=\"180.8\" font-size=\"9.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#fff\">50%<\/text><rect x=\"82.1\" y=\"124.0\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"9.7\" fill=\"#0ea5e9\"\/><text x=\"118.2\" y=\"132.8\" font-size=\"9.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#fff\">6%<\/text><rect x=\"82.1\" y=\"59.7\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"64.2\" fill=\"#f59e0b\"\/><text x=\"118.2\" y=\"95.8\" font-size=\"9.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#fff\">37%<\/text><rect x=\"82.1\" y=\"54.2\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"5.6\" fill=\"#ef4444\"\/><rect x=\"82.1\" y=\"49.7\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"4.5\" fill=\"#8b5cf6\"\/><rect x=\"82.1\" y=\"47.2\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"2.4\" fill=\"#10b981\"\/><rect x=\"82.1\" y=\"45.8\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"1.4\" fill=\"#6b7280\"\/><text x=\"118.2\" y=\"238.0\" font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#111827\">Armenia<\/text><rect x=\"226.6\" y=\"122.9\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"97.1\" fill=\"#2563eb\"\/><text x=\"262.8\" y=\"175.5\" font-size=\"9.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#fff\">56%<\/text><rect x=\"226.6\" y=\"110.2\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"12.7\" fill=\"#0ea5e9\"\/><text x=\"262.8\" y=\"120.6\" font-size=\"9.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#fff\">7%<\/text><rect x=\"226.6\" y=\"55.6\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"54.6\" fill=\"#f59e0b\"\/><text x=\"262.8\" y=\"86.9\" font-size=\"9.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#fff\">31%<\/text><rect x=\"226.6\" y=\"52.1\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"3.5\" fill=\"#ef4444\"\/><rect x=\"226.6\" y=\"49.1\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"3.0\" fill=\"#8b5cf6\"\/><rect x=\"226.6\" y=\"47.0\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"2.1\" fill=\"#10b981\"\/><rect x=\"226.6\" y=\"46.0\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"1.0\" fill=\"#6b7280\"\/><text x=\"262.8\" y=\"238.0\" font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#111827\">Ibagu\u00e9<\/text><rect x=\"371.1\" y=\"121.0\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"99.0\" fill=\"#2563eb\"\/><text x=\"407.2\" y=\"174.5\" font-size=\"9.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#fff\">57%<\/text><rect x=\"371.1\" y=\"114.4\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"6.6\" fill=\"#0ea5e9\"\/><rect x=\"371.1\" y=\"57.3\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"57.1\" fill=\"#f59e0b\"\/><text x=\"407.2\" y=\"89.8\" font-size=\"9.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#fff\">33%<\/text><rect x=\"371.1\" y=\"53.7\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"3.7\" fill=\"#ef4444\"\/><rect x=\"371.1\" y=\"49.1\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"4.5\" fill=\"#8b5cf6\"\/><rect x=\"371.1\" y=\"47.0\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"2.1\" fill=\"#10b981\"\/><rect x=\"371.1\" y=\"46.0\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"1.0\" fill=\"#6b7280\"\/><text x=\"407.2\" y=\"238.0\" font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#111827\">Pereira<\/text><rect x=\"515.6\" y=\"114.4\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"105.6\" fill=\"#2563eb\"\/><text x=\"551.8\" y=\"171.2\" font-size=\"9.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#fff\">61%<\/text><rect x=\"515.6\" y=\"103.8\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"10.6\" fill=\"#0ea5e9\"\/><text x=\"551.8\" y=\"113.1\" font-size=\"9.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#fff\">6%<\/text><rect x=\"515.6\" y=\"56.4\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"47.3\" fill=\"#f59e0b\"\/><text x=\"551.8\" y=\"84.1\" font-size=\"9.5\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#fff\">27%<\/text><rect x=\"515.6\" y=\"53.0\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"3.5\" fill=\"#ef4444\"\/><rect x=\"515.6\" y=\"48.1\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"4.9\" fill=\"#8b5cf6\"\/><rect x=\"515.6\" y=\"46.5\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"1.6\" fill=\"#10b981\"\/><rect x=\"515.6\" y=\"45.8\" width=\"72.2\" height=\"0.7\" fill=\"#6b7280\"\/><text x=\"551.8\" y=\"238.0\" font-size=\"12\" text-anchor=\"middle\" fill=\"#111827\">Manizales<\/text>\n      <rect x=\"46.0\" y=\"247.0\" width=\"9\" height=\"9\" fill=\"#2563eb\"\/><text x=\"59.0\" y=\"256.0\" font-size=\"10.5\" fill=\"#374151\">Obrero\/empleado particular<\/text><rect x=\"335.0\" y=\"247.0\" width=\"9\" height=\"9\" fill=\"#0ea5e9\"\/><text x=\"348.0\" y=\"256.0\" font-size=\"10.5\" fill=\"#374151\">Obrero\/empleado del gobierno<\/text><rect x=\"46.0\" y=\"263.0\" width=\"9\" height=\"9\" fill=\"#f59e0b\"\/><text x=\"59.0\" y=\"272.0\" font-size=\"10.5\" fill=\"#374151\">Cuenta propia<\/text><rect x=\"335.0\" y=\"263.0\" width=\"9\" height=\"9\" fill=\"#ef4444\"\/><text x=\"348.0\" y=\"272.0\" font-size=\"10.5\" fill=\"#374151\">Empleado dom\u00e9stico<\/text><rect x=\"46.0\" y=\"279.0\" width=\"9\" height=\"9\" fill=\"#8b5cf6\"\/><text x=\"59.0\" y=\"288.0\" font-size=\"10.5\" fill=\"#374151\">Patr\u00f3n o empleador<\/text><rect x=\"335.0\" y=\"279.0\" width=\"9\" height=\"9\" fill=\"#10b981\"\/><text x=\"348.0\" y=\"288.0\" font-size=\"10.5\" fill=\"#374151\">Trabajador familiar sin remuneraci\u00f3n<\/text><rect x=\"46.0\" y=\"295.0\" width=\"9\" height=\"9\" fill=\"#6b7280\"\/><text x=\"59.0\" y=\"304.0\" font-size=\"10.5\" fill=\"#374151\">Jornalero o pe\u00f3n<\/text>\n    <\/svg><\/div>\n<table>\n  <tr><th rowspan=\"2\">Indicador<\/th><th colspan='2'>Armenia<\/th><th colspan='2'>Ibagu\u00e9<\/th><th colspan='2'>Pereira<\/th><th colspan='2'>Manizales<\/th><\/tr>\n  <tr><th>2026<\/th><th>Var. pp<\/th><th>2026<\/th><th>Var. pp<\/th><th>2026<\/th><th>Var. pp<\/th><th>2026<\/th><th>Var. pp<\/th><\/tr>\n  <tr><td class='lbl'>Cuenta propia + dom\u00e9stico + familiar sin remuneraci\u00f3n + jornalero (% ocupados)<\/td><td>42.2%<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-5.8 pp<\/td><td>35.2%<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-0.7 pp<\/td><td>36.7%<\/td><td class='delta neg'>+0.0 pp<\/td><td>30.5%<\/td><td class='delta pos'>-3.1 pp<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>El empleo asalariado (obrero\/empleado particular + gobierno) predomina en las cuatro ciudades, con mayor peso en Manizales (66.8%) y menor en Armenia (55.2%). Como contraparte, Armenia tiene la mayor proporci\u00f3n de empleo por cuenta propia y otras formas no asalariadas, aunque ese indicador de informalidad-proxy mejor\u00f3 5.8 pp frente a 2025. Pereira es la \u00fanica ciudad donde la informalidad-proxy no cedi\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n<h2>4. Estructura sectorial del empleo (2026)<\/h2>\n<div class=\"sector-grid\">\n  <div class='sector-card'><h4>Armenia<\/h4><ul><li>Comercio y reparaci\u00f3n de veh\u00edculos: <b>20.3%<\/b><\/li><li>Administraci\u00f3n p\u00fablica y defensa: <b>17.0%<\/b><\/li><li>Actividades art\u00edsticas y entretenimiento: <b>10.3%<\/b><\/li><li>Alojamiento y servicios de comida: <b>9.4%<\/b><\/li><li>Industrias manufactureras: <b>9.1%<\/b><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='sector-card'><h4>Ibagu\u00e9<\/h4><ul><li>Comercio y reparaci\u00f3n de veh\u00edculos: <b>21.9%<\/b><\/li><li>Administraci\u00f3n p\u00fablica y defensa: <b>19.7%<\/b><\/li><li>Industrias manufactureras: <b>10.1%<\/b><\/li><li>Actividades art\u00edsticas y entretenimiento: <b>8.1%<\/b><\/li><li>Transporte y almacenamiento: <b>8.0%<\/b><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='sector-card'><h4>Pereira<\/h4><ul><li>Comercio y reparaci\u00f3n de veh\u00edculos: <b>21.6%<\/b><\/li><li>Administraci\u00f3n p\u00fablica y defensa: <b>15.5%<\/b><\/li><li>Actividades profesionales y cient\u00edficas: <b>11.5%<\/b><\/li><li>Industrias manufactureras: <b>11.4%<\/b><\/li><li>Actividades art\u00edsticas y entretenimiento: <b>8.3%<\/b><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class='sector-card'><h4>Manizales<\/h4><ul><li>Comercio y reparaci\u00f3n de veh\u00edculos: <b>19.3%<\/b><\/li><li>Administraci\u00f3n p\u00fablica y defensa: <b>16.6%<\/b><\/li><li>Industrias manufactureras: <b>13.6%<\/b><\/li><li>Actividades profesionales y cient\u00edficas: <b>11.5%<\/b><\/li><li>Alojamiento y servicios de comida: <b>8.0%<\/b><\/li><\/ul><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<h3>Sectores que m\u00e1s empleo ganaron o perdieron (suma de las 4 ciudades, miles de personas)<\/h3>\n<div class=\"two-col\">\n  <div class=\"col-box gain\"><h4>Mayor crecimiento<\/h4><ul><li>Administraci\u00f3n p\u00fablica y defensa: <b>+20.0<\/b> mil personas<\/li><li>Transporte y almacenamiento: <b>+3.2<\/b> mil personas<\/li><li>Construcci\u00f3n: <b>+3.0<\/b> mil personas<\/li><\/ul><\/div>\n  <div class=\"col-box loss\"><h4>Mayor p\u00e9rdida<\/h4><ul><li>Industrias manufactureras: <b>-11.7<\/b> mil personas<\/li><li>Comercio y reparaci\u00f3n de veh\u00edculos: <b>-8.0<\/b> mil personas<\/li><li>Actividades art\u00edsticas y entretenimiento: <b>-3.9<\/b> mil personas<\/li><\/ul><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>El comercio es el sector con m\u00e1s empleo en las cuatro ciudades (19-22%), pero pierde puestos en Armenia, Ibagu\u00e9 y Pereira; solo Manizales lo incrementa. La administraci\u00f3n p\u00fablica crece en las cuatro ciudades de forma simult\u00e1nea, y las industrias manufactureras caen en todas, con un retroceso especialmente fuerte en Pereira (-8.5 mil).<\/p>\n\n<h2>5. Conclusiones<\/h2>\n<p>El eje cafetero y Tolima muestran trayectorias divergentes en el \u00faltimo a\u00f1o. Manizales y Armenia mejoran de forma consistente en ocupaci\u00f3n y participaci\u00f3n laboral, mientras Ibagu\u00e9 y Pereira pierden ocupados; en estas \u00faltimas la ca\u00edda de la TD se explica m\u00e1s por salida de poblaci\u00f3n de la fuerza de trabajo que por creaci\u00f3n neta de empleo, lo que matiza la lectura positiva del indicador. La dependencia del comercio y la p\u00e9rdida de peso de la manufactura son un patr\u00f3n com\u00fan a las cuatro ciudades, mientras el crecimiento generalizado del empleo p\u00fablico merece seguimiento, dado que no refleja necesariamente dinamismo del sector privado.<\/p>\n\n<footer>Fuente: archivo ML MAYO.xlsx (indicadores GEIH por ciudad). Elaborado para Juan a partir de los datos suministrados \u2014 2026-06-30.<\/footer>\n<\/div>\n<\/body>\n<\/html>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Refrencias.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dane (2026). Empleo y Desempleo. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dane.gov.co\/index.php\/estadisticas-por-tema\/mercado-laboral\/empleo-y-desempleo\">DANE &#8211; Empleo y desempleo<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I. Contexto La tasa de desempleo del trimestre m\u00f3vil marzo a mayo de 2026 fue para Armenia 9.9%, ocupando la posici\u00f3n d\u00e9cima entre 23 ciudades y aumentando 0.1% respecto al mismo trimestre del a\u00f1o anterior (10\/23, +01), Ibagu\u00e9 11.5% (6\/23, -1.8%), Pereira 7.8% (22\/23, -2.1%), Manizales 8.2% (20\/23, -1.5%) y<\/p>\n<div class=\"continue-reading-wrapper\"><a href=\"https:\/\/observatorioarmenia.org\/site\/observatorio-economico-td-marzo-a-mayo-de-2026-de-armenia-9-9-ibague-11-5-pereira-7-8-manizales-8-2-y-nacional-8-0\/\" class=\"continue-reading\">Ampliar informaci\u00f3n<i class=\"ion-ios-arrow-right\"><\/i><\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8106","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/observatorioarmenia.org\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8106","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/observatorioarmenia.org\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/observatorioarmenia.org\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/observatorioarmenia.org\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/observatorioarmenia.org\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8106"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/observatorioarmenia.org\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8106\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8120,"href":"https:\/\/observatorioarmenia.org\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8106\/revisions\/8120"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/observatorioarmenia.org\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8106"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/observatorioarmenia.org\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8106"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/observatorioarmenia.org\/site\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8106"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}